主讲题目：Food Safety, Crop Choices, and Structural Transformation

主讲嘉宾：奚锡灿，复旦大学经济学院助理教授

时间：12月7日（周三）上午10:00

腾讯会议ID：422-126-502

会议密码：1893

评论人：逄金栋，武汉大学副研究员

主持人：郭汝飞，武汉大学副教授

主办单位：世界经济系，美国加拿大经济研究所

内容摘要：

This paper evaluates the consequences of a food-safety program in China, which prioritized grain production in 800 selected counties after 2010. We find that these counties experienced a substantial decline in the production of cash crops and in agricultural employment after 2010, but their grain output only increased mildly. We then develop a spatial equilibrium model to gauge the aggregate effects of the program, which features heterogeneous worker abilities, sectoral choices and crop choices. To rationalize the empirical findings, the model implies a low correlation of worker abilities to grow cash and grain crops, a key parameter that determines the reallocation between crops. Counterfactual analysis shows that the program has a limited effect on aggregate grain output.

主讲人简介：

奚锡灿，复旦大学经济学院助理教授，研究领域为宏观经济学、发展经济学和环境经济学。研究论文曾发表于Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences (PNAS)、American Economic Journal: Macroeconomics和《管理世界》等学术期刊。