讲座题目：Willingness to Board: A Novel Concept for Modeling Queuing Up Passengers
讲座摘要：This study addresses an innovative concept, termed as queuing passengers’ willingness to board (WTB) the transit vehicles. In the peak hours, some queuing passengers cannot board a crowded bus/train, but when the same vehicle arrives at the next stop, some other passengers could still get on. This phenomenon reflects that passengers at different queuing locations have heterogeneous level of ambitions to board. A methodological framework is proposed for the quantitative investigation of WTB. First, a general model is proposed, together with a new least square method (LSM) for the calibration. Then, a parametric model is developed, which is also calibrated by the LSM. To refine the calibration method and deal with the biasness of survey data, a weighted least square method is further developed. Based on real survey data, the calibration results clearly support the existence of WTB, which can be used to estimate the capacity of transit vehicles. This study also sheds some lights on the practical applications of the quantitative WTB.
个人简介：刘志远博士现为东南大学的特聘教授，入选国家“青年千人计划”，东南大学交通学院学术委员会委员、交通工程系副主任。2012年于新加坡国立大学土木与环境工程系获博士学位。主要研究领域包括交通网络规划与管理、交通大数据分析与建模、公共交通、多模式物流网络、智能交通系统等。迄今为止在这些领域中发表学术论文70余篇，被Transportation Research Part B, Transportation, Accident Analysis and Prevention等SCI/SSCI期刊检索40余篇，其中四篇高引论文。担任国际期刊International Journal of Transportation编委。